Caxias vs Figueirense Sunday 16th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Caxias Figueirense

Caxias L D W D D L

Figueirense W D L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Figueirense	Caxias	2 - 3	May 5, 2025
Caxias	Figueirense	2 - 1	June 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Botafogo PB	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Floresta	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ferroviária	0 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Home	Anápolis	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	0 - 1	Win
Jul 13, 26	Home	Volta Redonda	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 6, 26	Away	Brusque	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Guarani Campinas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ituano	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Floresta	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Caxias	15	5	6	4	14	12	+2	21
13	Figueirense	15	5	5	5	13	18	-5	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Caxias has a 40.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.11 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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