Caxias vs Floresta Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Caxias Floresta

Caxias D L W D W D

Floresta W L L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caxias	Floresta	1 - 1	October 11, 2025
Floresta	Caxias	0 - 0	September 7, 2025
Caxias	Floresta	1 - 0	April 13, 2025
Floresta	Caxias	2 - 1	June 30, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Paysandu	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Barra	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Barra	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Brusque	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Figueirense	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Paysandu	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Amazonas	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Floresta	12	5	3	4	15	14	+1	18
10	Caxias	11	4	4	3	11	9	+2	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Caxias will score 0 goals, and Floresta will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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