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Serie C logo

Serie C

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Caxias Ituano
Caxias D W D D W L
Ituano W W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Caxias Ituano 2 - 1 June 29, 2025
Ituano Caxias 2 - 1 July 2, 2016
Caxias Ituano 3 - 1 June 26, 2016

Caxias Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away MaranhĂŁo 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Paysandu 2 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Barra 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Amazonas 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 27, 26 Home Ypiranga-RS 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Volta Redonda 1 - 0 Loss

Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 25, 26 Home Botafogo PB 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 1 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
May 5, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Maringá 4 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Ituano 8 5 1 2 12 8 +4 16
7 Caxias 8 3 3 2 7 5 +2 12

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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