Caxias vs Ituano Sunday 31st May 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Caxias Ituano

Caxias D W D D W L

Ituano W W W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caxias	Ituano	2 - 1	June 29, 2025
Ituano	Caxias	2 - 1	July 2, 2016
Caxias	Ituano	3 - 1	June 26, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Paysandu	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Barra	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Amazonas	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Volta Redonda	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Home	Botafogo PB	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win
May 5, 26	Away	Ypiranga-RS	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Maringá	4 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Inter De Limeira	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Ituano	8	5	1	2	12	8	+4	16
7	Caxias	8	3	3	2	7	5	+2	12

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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