Ceara vs Criciuma Tuesday 06th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ceara Criciuma

Ceara W D L W L W

Criciuma L L W L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Criciuma	Ceara	1 - 1	June 16, 2026
Ceara	Criciuma	1 - 0	September 2, 2023
Criciuma	Ceara	1 - 2	May 21, 2023
Criciuma	Ceara	1 - 1	November 18, 2017
Ceara	Criciuma	3 - 1	August 2, 2017
Criciuma	Ceara	2 - 3	November 8, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 10, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Londrina	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Home	Juventude	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	Cuiaba	2 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	CRB	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 20, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	+3	47
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	-6	35

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ceara has a 36.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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