Ceara vs Ponte Preta Saturday 08th August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ceara Ponte Preta

Ceara L D D L L L

Ponte Preta L L L L L L

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ponte Preta	Ceara	1 - 1	April 2, 2026
Ceara	Ponte Preta	1 - 0	October 12, 2024
Ponte Preta	Ceara	3 - 1	June 26, 2024
Ceara	Ponte Preta	1 - 1	August 20, 2023
Ponte Preta	Ceara	0 - 0	May 7, 2023
Ponte Preta	Ceara	3 - 1	September 27, 2014

Ceara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	CRB	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	America Mineiro	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 13, 26	Home	Athletic Club	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Goias	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Juventude	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	0 - 1	Loss

Ponte Preta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Operario-PR	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Criciuma	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Home	Novorizontino	0 - 2	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	Ceara	19	4	7	8	16	22	-6	19
20	Ponte Preta	19	2	2	15	14	38	-24	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Ceara to win

This prediction indicates that Ceara has a 56.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.24 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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