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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ceilândia Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia W L L W L W
Goiatuba EC D L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Goiatuba EC Ceilândia 1 - 0 April 11, 2026

Ceilândia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away União Rondonópolis 2 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Away Capital Brasilia 2 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home CEOV Operário 0 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Away CEOV Operário 0 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Capital Brasilia 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home União Rondonópolis 1 - 0 Win

Goiatuba EC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Capital Brasilia 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Mixto 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Away União Rondonópolis 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Home União Rondonópolis 5 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Mixto 1 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Capital Brasilia 0 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Goiatuba EC 8 4 3 1 11 6 +5 15
59 Ceilândia 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ceilândia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ceilândia has a 36.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.36 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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