Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Tuesday 11th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Celje Ararat-Armenia

Celje D D D D W D

Ararat-Armenia L W L W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ararat-Armenia	Celje	0 - 0	September 24, 2020

Celje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Mura	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Istra 1961	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Home	MTK Budapest	4 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Cukaricki	1 - 1	Draw

Ararat-Armenia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Shamrock Rovers	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Riga	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Riga	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vojvodina	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Mura	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that both Celje and Ararat-Armenia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Celje to win

This prediction indicates that Celje has a 60.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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