Celoricense vs Montalegre Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Celoricense Montalegre

Celoricense W D W D L D

Montalegre L L D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 18, 26	Away	Camacha	1 - 2	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Machico	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Away	Brito	0 - 1	Win
Mar 22, 26	Home	AR São Martinho	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 15, 26	Away	Vianense	3 - 0	Loss
Mar 8, 26	Home	Tirsense	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 7, 24	Away	Sandinenses	4 - 0	Loss
Mar 29, 24	Home	Os Limianos	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 24, 24	Home	Vila Real	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 17, 24	Away	Ribeirão	0 - 1	Win
Mar 3, 24	Away	Tirsense	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 24, 24	Away	Pevidem	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Montalegre	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Celoricense	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Celoricense has a 50.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.49 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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