Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso Monday 28th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification logo

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Central African Republic Burkina Faso
Central African Republic L D W L L L
Burkina Faso D L D W L W
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Burkina Faso Central African Republic 4 - 2 August 6, 2025

Central African Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 9, 26 Away Angola 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Home Togo 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 12, 25 Away Chad 2 - 3 Win
Oct 8, 25 Home Ghana 0 - 5 Loss
Sep 7, 25 Home Comoros 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 4, 25 Away Madagascar 2 - 0 Loss

Burkina Faso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 9, 26 Away Belarus 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Russia 3 - 0 Loss
Mar 31, 26 Home Guinea-Bissau 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 28, 26 Home Guinea-Bissau 5 - 0 Win
Jan 6, 26 Away Ivory Coast 3 - 0 Loss
Dec 31, 25 Away Sudan 0 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that both Central African Republic and Burkina Faso will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Burkina Faso to win
This prediction indicates that Burkina Faso has a 54.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.61 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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