Primera C
Match Analysis
Central Ballester
Sportivo Barracas
Central Ballester
W
L
D
L
W
W
Sportivo Barracas
W
W
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Sportivo Barracas are favored by the model despite Central Ballester's rest advantage and superior head-to-head record, because Barracas hold a clear quality edge overall. However, Central Ballester's dominance in recent meetings and the tendency for low-scoring encounters between these sides suggest a tight match with few goals—the model leans toward an away win but expects Under 2.5 goals and no goals from both teams as the more likely outcomes. Both teams' moderate current form supports a cautious prediction rather than a runaway result for either side.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | Central Ballester | 0 - 2 | April 5, 2026 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Central Ballester | 4 - 2 | August 11, 2025 |
| Central Ballester | Sportivo Barracas | 0 - 0 | April 27, 2025 |
| Central Ballester | Sportivo Barracas | 1 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Central Ballester | 1 - 2 | May 5, 2024 |
| Central Ballester | Sportivo Barracas | 1 - 0 | October 9, 2023 |
Central Ballester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Fénix | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lujan | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | General Lamadrid | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Leones de Rosario | 0 - 1 | Win |
Sportivo Barracas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Claypole | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | El Porvenir | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Lugano | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Fénix | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Yupanqui | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | +4 | 31 |
| 20 | Central Ballester | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sportivo Barracas to win
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Barracas has a 43.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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