Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura
Central Espanol logo Central Espanol
July 25, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time
Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo

Match Analysis

Central Espanol Cerro Largo
Central Espanol D D W L W W
Cerro Largo D D W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central Espanol Cerro Largo 1 - 3 March 15, 2026
Central Espanol Cerro Largo 0 - 0 September 22, 2018
Cerro Largo Central Espanol 1 - 0 April 28, 2018
Cerro Largo Central Espanol 3 - 0 November 15, 2017
Central Espanol Cerro Largo 1 - 0 June 28, 2017
Cerro Largo Central Espanol 3 - 0 September 10, 2016

Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away Boston River 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Penarol 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Cerro 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 2 - 0 Win

Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 13, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 8, 26 Away Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 0 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Cerro 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Boston River 3 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Racing Montevideo 1 - 0 Loss
May 11, 26 Home Penarol 2 - 3 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Central Espanol 20 9 5 6 27 25 +2 32
10 Cerro Largo 20 7 4 9 22 21 +1 25

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Central Espanol to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 40.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply