Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
L
L
W
D
L
D
Defensor Sporting
D
L
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | 2 - 1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | 0 - 0 | March 8, 2026 |
| Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 0 | October 5, 2021 |
| Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | 4 - 0 | June 26, 2021 |
| Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | 2 - 1 | April 21, 2013 |
| Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | October 28, 2012 |
Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Juventud | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Penarol | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Boston River | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Defensor Sporting Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Wanderers | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Cerro | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Central Espanol to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 42.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.84 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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