Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo Saturday 25th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Central Espanol Liverpool Montevideo

Central Espanol D W L W W L

Liverpool Montevideo D W D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Liverpool Montevideo	Central Espanol	3 - 3	March 24, 2026
Central Espanol	Liverpool Montevideo	3 - 2	March 21, 2015
Liverpool Montevideo	Central Espanol	3 - 1	September 27, 2014
Liverpool Montevideo	Central Espanol	1 - 1	April 6, 2013
Central Espanol	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 2	October 14, 2012

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Penarol	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Cerro	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Boston River	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Boston River	0 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Penarol	2 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Wanderers	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Danubio	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Central Espanol	19	9	4	6	27	25	+2	31
9	Liverpool Montevideo	19	6	7	6	22	20	+2	25

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 35.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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