Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura
Central Espanol logo Central Espanol
Aug. 8, 2026 2 days, 12 hours from now VS
Progreso logo Progreso

Match Analysis

Central Espanol Progreso
Central Espanol D L D D W L
Progreso L W L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Progreso Central Espanol 0 - 3 February 7, 2026
Central Espanol Progreso 1 - 1 September 25, 2022
Progreso Central Espanol 1 - 1 June 25, 2022
Progreso Central Espanol 2 - 0 December 9, 2017
Central Espanol Progreso 1 - 0 December 6, 2017
Progreso Central Espanol 2 - 0 November 22, 2017

Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Boston River 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Penarol 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Cerro 1 - 0 Loss

Progreso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Club Nacional 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Wanderers 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Albion FC 1 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Danubio 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 2 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Central Espanol 22 9 6 7 27 26 +1 33
16 Progreso 22 4 4 14 18 34 -16 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Central Espanol to win
This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 56.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.90 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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