Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Central Norte Deportivo Moron

Central Norte W D L D L W

Deportivo Moron L W W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Moron	Central Norte	2 - 0	March 1, 2026
Central Norte	Deportivo Moron	0 - 0	June 22, 2025
Deportivo Moron	Central Norte	2 - 0	February 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Godoy Cruz	1 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	San Telmo	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Acassuso	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Chaco For Ever	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Racing Cordoba	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Ciudad de Bolívar	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Almirante Brown	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Atletico Mitre	1 - 3	Win
May 24, 26	Home	CA Estudiantes	2 - 0	Win
May 18, 26	Away	All Boys	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Deportivo Moron	18	10	4	4	26	15	+11	34
32	Central Norte	18	4	6	8	11	16	-5	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 40.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.88 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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