Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
L
D
D
D
D
W
Ferro Carril Oeste
W
D
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Central Norte | 1 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Defensores De Belgrano | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Ciudad de Bolívar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Almirante Brown | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Moron | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | CA Estudiantes | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Atletico Mitre | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | CA Estudiantes | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | All Boys | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Atlanta | 3 - 1 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 25 | +10 | 58 |
| 30 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 62.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ferro Carril Oeste to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ferro Carril Oeste has a 38.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.03 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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