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Primera Nacional

Aug. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Central Norte Gimnasia Y Tiro
Central Norte L L D W D L
Gimnasia Y Tiro W D W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gimnasia Y Tiro Central Norte 0 - 1 March 29, 2026
Central Norte Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 January 19, 2025

Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Colon Santa Fe 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home San Miguel 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Acassuso 2 - 1 Loss

Gimnasia Y Tiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Home Deportivo Maipu 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Patronato 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Colegiales 1 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Quilmes 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Gimnasia Y Tiro 21 7 7 7 20 21 -1 28
35 Central Norte 21 4 7 10 13 23 -10 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win
This prediction indicates that Gimnasia Y Tiro has a 43.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.51 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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