Primera C
Match Analysis
Centro Español
Estrella Del Sur
Centro Español
D
W
D
L
L
D
Estrella Del Sur
W
W
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability. Estrella Del Sur has a modest quality edge, strong recent form, and has dominated recent meetings against Centro Español, who are in poor recent form. Additionally, Estrella Del Sur benefits from a rest advantage. The model's confidence in a home win is notable, but the rest of the factors suggest a competitive match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella Del Sur | Centro Español | 1 - 0 | April 26, 2026 |
| Estrella Del Sur | Centro Español | 1 - 1 | September 15, 2025 |
| Centro Español | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 2 | June 2, 2025 |
Centro Español Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Central Cordoba | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Berazategui | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Victoriano Arenas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lugano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | JJ Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Estrella Del Sur Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Canuelas | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | JJ Urquiza | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Lujan | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Mercedes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Paraguayo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Puerto Nuevo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 38 |
| 10 | Centro Español | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 35 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Centro Español to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Centro Español has a 39.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.67 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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