Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Saturday 08th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka Fagiano Okayama

Cerezo Osaka W W D W W W

Fagiano Okayama L W L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fagiano Okayama	Cerezo Osaka	2 - 3	May 24, 2026
Cerezo Osaka	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 2	March 18, 2026
Fagiano Okayama	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 2	October 18, 2025
Cerezo Osaka	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 1	April 2, 2025
Cerezo Osaka	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 0	December 4, 2016
Fagiano Okayama	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 1	October 16, 2016

Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Tochigi City	1 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	1 - 3	Win
May 30, 26	Home	FC Tokyo	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	6 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 2	Win

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Werder Bremen	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1 - 2	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	SC Paderborn 07	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	SV Wehen	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Urawa	0 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Urawa	1 - 1	Draw

J1 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Fagiano Okayama	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Cerezo Osaka	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.48% likelihood that both Cerezo Osaka and Fagiano Okayama will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cerezo Osaka to win

This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 60.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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