J1 League
Match Analysis
Cerezo Osaka
Kashiwa Reysol
Cerezo Osaka
L
W
W
W
W
D
Kashiwa Reysol
W
W
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 - 1 | September 20, 2025 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 1 | February 26, 2025 |
| Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 - 0 | September 28, 2024 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 1 | April 3, 2024 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 1 | August 12, 2023 |
| Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 - 0 | April 23, 2023 |
Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Fagiano Okayama | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Tochigi City | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | FC Tokyo | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | FC Tokyo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Kashiwa Reysol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Tokyo Verdy | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Mito Hollyhock | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | JEF United Chiba | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Kyoto Sanga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Kyoto Sanga | 2 - 6 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | JEF United Chiba | 4 - 2 | Win |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Cerezo Osaka to win
This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 41.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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