Segunda División
Match Analysis
Cerrito
La Luz
Cerrito
D
L
L
W
D
L
La Luz
W
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | Cerrito | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| Cerrito | La Luz | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Cerrito | La Luz | 1 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| La Luz | Cerrito | 2 - 2 | May 24, 2025 |
| Cerrito | La Luz | 0 - 0 | September 14, 2024 |
| La Luz | Cerrito | 6 - 0 | May 31, 2024 |
Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Atenas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Paysandu | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Sportivo Huracan | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Uruguay Montevideo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Oriental | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Colón | 1 - 0 | Loss |
La Luz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Paysandu | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Sportivo Huracan | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Oriental | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Colón | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fenix | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cerrito | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | +2 | 33 |
| 10 | La Luz | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cerrito to win
This prediction indicates that Cerrito has a 45.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.94 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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