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Segunda División logo

Segunda División

July 12, 2026 2 days, 15 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Cerrito Miramar
Cerrito D W L L W W
Miramar D W L W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cerrito Miramar 1 - 6 November 4, 2023
Miramar Cerrito 2 - 2 June 18, 2023
Cerrito Miramar 2 - 2 April 2, 2023
Cerrito Miramar 1 - 1 August 18, 2018
Miramar Cerrito 1 - 1 March 24, 2018
Cerrito Miramar 1 - 0 September 13, 2017

Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away Tacuarembo 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Plaza Colonia 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away La Luz 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away CA River Plate 6 - 4 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Atenas 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Paysandu 0 - 1 Win

Miramar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 6, 26 Home Atenas 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Paysandu 2 - 3 Win
Jun 19, 26 Home Sportivo Huracan 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 3 Win
Jun 8, 26 Home Oriental 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Colón 1 - 3 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Cerrito 15 6 6 3 22 21 +1 24
10 Miramar 14 4 5 5 16 17 -1 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cerrito to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cerrito has a 38.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.66 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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