Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
D
D
D
D
L
W
Central Espanol
L
L
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | 1 - 3 | March 15, 2026 |
| Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | 0 - 0 | September 22, 2018 |
| Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | 1 - 0 | April 28, 2018 |
| Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | 3 - 0 | November 15, 2017 |
| Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | 1 - 0 | June 28, 2017 |
Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Juventud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Penarol | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 0 - 1 | Win |
Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Juventud | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Penarol | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Central Espanol | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cerro Largo to win
This prediction indicates that Cerro Largo has a 43.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.30 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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