Cerro Largo vs Cerro Saturday 30th May 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Cerro Largo Cerro

Cerro Largo W L L W L L

Cerro W L L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerro Largo	Cerro	1 - 1	April 10, 2026
Cerro	Cerro Largo	0 - 1	September 7, 2025
Cerro	Cerro Largo	2 - 1	June 19, 2025
Cerro Largo	Cerro	0 - 0	March 17, 2025
Cerro Largo	Cerro	3 - 1	September 28, 2024
Cerro	Cerro Largo	0 - 1	July 14, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Boston River	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	1 - 0	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Penarol	2 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Progreso	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 20, 26	Away	Boston River	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Central Espanol	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Boston River	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Club Nacional	4 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Central Espanol	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Cerro Largo	17	6	2	9	19	20	-1	20
15	Cerro	17	3	4	10	10	28	-18	13

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Cerro Largo has a 53.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.67 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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