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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Cerro Largo Cerro
Cerro Largo W L L W L L
Cerro W L L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cerro Largo Cerro 1 - 1 April 10, 2026
Cerro Cerro Largo 0 - 1 September 7, 2025
Cerro Cerro Largo 2 - 1 June 19, 2025
Cerro Largo Cerro 0 - 0 March 17, 2025
Cerro Largo Cerro 3 - 1 September 28, 2024
Cerro Cerro Largo 0 - 1 July 14, 2024

Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Boston River 3 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Racing Montevideo 1 - 0 Loss
May 11, 26 Home Penarol 2 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Progreso 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 20, 26 Away Boston River 1 - 0 Loss

Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Central Espanol 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Boston River 4 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Club Nacional 4 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Central Espanol 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 1 Draw

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19 20 -1 20
15 Cerro 17 3 4 10 10 28 -18 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Cerro Largo to win
This prediction indicates that Cerro Largo has a 53.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.67 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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