Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
D
L
D
D
D
D
Club Nacional
W
D
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | 3 - 0 | March 24, 2026 |
| Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | 2 - 1 | October 4, 2025 |
| Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | 0 - 4 | April 6, 2025 |
| Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | 0 - 1 | October 13, 2024 |
| Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | 0 - 4 | June 23, 2024 |
| Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | 1 - 0 | April 6, 2024 |
Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Central Espanol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Juventud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Club Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Defensor Sporting | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Juventud | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Penarol | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 46 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 33 |
Predictions
Club Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 43.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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