Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Sunday 16th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Cerro Porteno Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Cerro Porteno W L L W W W

Club Sp. San Lorenzo L L D W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerro Porteno	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	2 - 0	March 28, 2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo	Cerro Porteno	2 - 4	January 27, 2026
Cerro Porteno	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	1 - 1	December 13, 2020
Club Sp. San Lorenzo	Cerro Porteno	1 - 1	October 2, 2020
Cerro Porteno	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	4 - 1	August 2, 2020
Cerro Porteno	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	2 - 0	October 20, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Sportivo Luqueno	3 - 0	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	2 de Mayo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Sportivo Trinidense	1 - 2	Loss
May 28, 26	Home	Sporting Cristal	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Rubio NU	2 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Away	Sportivo Trinidense	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 26	Home	Club Guarani	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Deportivo Recoleta	1 - 1	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	2 de Mayo	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Sportivo Luqueno	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Olimpia	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Cerro Porteno	3	1	0	2	5	4	+1	3
10	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cerro Porteno has a 69.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.53 %

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