Cerro vs Penarol Sunday 07th June 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Cerro Penarol

Cerro L W L L L L

Penarol L L W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Penarol	Cerro	3 - 1	March 21, 2026
Cerro	Penarol	2 - 0	October 25, 2025
Penarol	Cerro	2 - 0	June 28, 2025
Penarol	Cerro	3 - 1	April 27, 2025
Cerro	Penarol	0 - 5	September 22, 2024
Penarol	Cerro	3 - 0	March 9, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Central Espanol	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Boston River	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Club Nacional	4 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Central Espanol	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 1, 26	Home	Central Espanol	0 - 1	Loss
May 28, 26	Home	Santa Fe	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Defensor Sporting	0 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	2 - 1	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Penarol	18	10	3	5	27	18	+9	33
16	Cerro	18	3	4	11	10	30	-20	13

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Penarol has a 64.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.59 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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