Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
L
W
W
L
W
W
Racing Montevideo
D
W
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| Racing Montevideo | Cerro | 1 - 0 | March 8, 2026 |
| Cerro | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 2 | August 10, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Cerro | 0 - 1 | February 8, 2025 |
| Cerro | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| Racing Montevideo | Cerro | 1 - 1 | April 19, 2024 |
Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Danubio | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 2 | Win |
Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Danubio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Club Nacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Boston River | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cerro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Penarol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 31 | 19 | +12 | 45 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Racing Montevideo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Racing Montevideo has a 41.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.07 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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