Serie B
Match Analysis
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
L
D
W
W
W
L
Sampdoria
L
W
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a draw between Cesena and Sampdoria with a 36% probability. Given that the teams are closely matched in overall quality and recent meetings have often ended level, the draw seems plausible. The market odds also suggest a similar level of uncertainty, as they imply a comparable chance of a draw. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 50% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, indicating an expectation of a competitive and potentially high-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | Sampdoria | 0 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Sampdoria | Cesena | 1 - 2 | September 13, 2025 |
| Sampdoria | Cesena | 1 - 2 | January 17, 2025 |
| Cesena | Sampdoria | 3 - 5 | October 20, 2024 |
| Sampdoria | Cesena | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2015 |
| Cesena | Sampdoria | 1 - 1 | November 23, 2014 |
Cesena Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Forli | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Vis Pesaro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fossombrone | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Carpi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 4 | Loss |
Sampdoria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Cremonese | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Parma | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Novara | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Taverne | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Reggiana | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.11% likelihood that both Cesena and Sampdoria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Cesena will score 2 goals, and Sampdoria will score 2 goals in the football match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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