CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas Sunday 09th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

CF Os Belenenses Caldas

CF Os Belenenses L L D L W W

Caldas L D L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caldas	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 2	January 11, 2026
CF Os Belenenses	Caldas	0 - 2	October 4, 2025
Caldas	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 1	November 3, 2024
CF Os Belenenses	Caldas	2 - 1	August 2, 2024
Caldas	CF Os Belenenses	0 - 1	February 19, 2023
CF Os Belenenses	Caldas	1 - 1	November 6, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Benfica	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Alverca	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Farense	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Farense	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Mafra	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Varzim	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	1º Dezembro	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	SC Covilha	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Atlético CP	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Away	Amora	1 - 2	Win
Mar 22, 26	Home	Lusitano Évora 1911	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 14, 26	Home	Atlético CP	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Caldas	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	CF Os Belenenses	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CF Os Belenenses has a 59.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.39 %

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