CFRJ / Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

CFRJ / Maricá Nova Iguaçu

CFRJ / Maricá D L L L L D

Nova Iguaçu W W D D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nova Iguaçu	CFRJ / Maricá	0 - 1	April 12, 2026
CFRJ / Maricá	Nova Iguaçu	2 - 2	March 1, 2026
Nova Iguaçu	CFRJ / Maricá	0 - 1	February 16, 2026
Nova Iguaçu	CFRJ / Maricá	1 - 3	July 12, 2025
CFRJ / Maricá	Nova Iguaçu	1 - 1	May 3, 2025
CFRJ / Maricá	Nova Iguaçu	2 - 0	January 22, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	XV de Piracicaba	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Noroeste	0 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Noroeste	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	XV de Piracicaba	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Noroeste	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Velo Clube	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Velo Clube	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Noroeste	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
69	Nova Iguaçu	8	2	3	3	6	9	-3	9
74	CFRJ / Maricá	8	2	2	4	7	11	-4	8

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nova Iguaçu has a 35.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.22 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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