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League One

June 27, 2026 3 days, 22 hours ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Changchun Yatai Guangxi Hengchen
Changchun Yatai W D L D W L
Guangxi Hengchen L D D D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Changchun Yatai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Yanbian Longding 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Shenzhen Juniors 0 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Xi'an Ronghai 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Away Ningbo Professional 3 - 1 Loss

Guangxi Hengchen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Shandong Luneng 0 - 5 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Shenzhen Juniors 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Dongguan United 3 - 3 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Nantong Zhiyun 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Hubei Chufeng Heli 0 - 4 Win
May 10, 26 Away Yanbian Longding 1 - 1 Draw

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Guangxi Hengchen 11 4 4 3 14 11 +3 16
6 Changchun Yatai 11 5 1 5 16 19 -3 16

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Guangxi Hengchen to win
This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 46.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.13 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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