Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen Saturday 27th June 2026 10:30 AM football predictions.

Changchun Yatai Guangxi Hengchen

Changchun Yatai W D L D W L

Guangxi Hengchen L D D D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Xi'an Ronghai	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	2 - 3	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Dongguan United	3 - 3	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Nantong Zhiyun	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Hubei Chufeng Heli	0 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Guangxi Hengchen	11	4	4	3	14	11	+3	16
6	Changchun Yatai	11	5	1	5	16	19	-3	16

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 46.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.13 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

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