Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugou Friday 17th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Changchun Yatai Wuxi Wugou

Changchun Yatai L W D L D W

Wuxi Wugou D D D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Guangxi Hengchen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Xi'an Ronghai	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Qingdao Jonoon	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Suzhou Dongwu	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Nanjing City	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Guangzhou Dandelion	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Wuxi Wugou	11	4	4	3	17	11	+6	16
7	Changchun Yatai	12	5	1	6	17	21	-4	16

This prediction indicates that Wuxi Wugou has a 50.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.97 %

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