Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding Tuesday 06th October 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

League One

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Changchun Yatai Yanbian Longding

Changchun Yatai D W W L W L

Yanbian Longding L L L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yanbian Longding	Changchun Yatai	2 - 2	May 30, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Ningbo Professional	2 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Dongguan United	6 - 0	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Shaanxi Union	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Wuxi Wugou	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Shaanxi Union	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	2 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Yanbian Longding	24	9	8	7	33	27	+6	35
7	Changchun Yatai	22	10	2	10	36	37	-1	32

This prediction indicates that Changchun Yatai has a 42.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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