Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo Thursday 23rd July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Chapecoense-sc Flamengo

Chapecoense-sc W L L L D L

Flamengo L D W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chapecoense-sc	Flamengo	2 - 2	November 8, 2021
Flamengo	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	July 11, 2021
Chapecoense-sc	Flamengo	0 - 1	October 6, 2019
Flamengo	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	May 12, 2019
Flamengo	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	September 9, 2018
Chapecoense-sc	Flamengo	3 - 2	May 13, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	remo	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Mirassol	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Lausanne	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	River Plate	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Coritiba	3 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Cusco	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Palmeiras	0 - 3	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Estudiantes L.P.	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Flamengo	17	10	4	3	31	16	+15	34
20	Chapecoense-sc	16	1	6	9	17	32	-15	9

This prediction indicates that Flamengo has a 64.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.09 %

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