Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama Wednesday 29th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Chapecoense-sc Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc W L L L D L

Vasco DA Gama L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vasco DA Gama	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	February 5, 2026
Vasco DA Gama	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 0	July 31, 2022
Chapecoense-sc	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 0	April 23, 2022
Vasco DA Gama	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	December 8, 2019
Chapecoense-sc	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 2	September 14, 2019
Vasco DA Gama	Chapecoense-sc	3 - 1	August 26, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	remo	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Mirassol	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Internacional	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Vasco DA Gama	17	5	5	7	22	28	-6	20
20	Chapecoense-sc	16	1	6	9	17	32	-15	9

This prediction indicates that Vasco DA Gama has a 35.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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