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Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Charleroi KV Mechelen
Charleroi L D W L D W
KV Mechelen D L L L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
KV Mechelen Charleroi 1 - 0 December 7, 2025
Charleroi KV Mechelen 2 - 0 December 4, 2025
Charleroi KV Mechelen 0 - 2 September 28, 2025
KV Mechelen Charleroi 1 - 1 May 18, 2025
Charleroi KV Mechelen 3 - 0 April 19, 2025
Charleroi KV Mechelen 0 - 1 March 8, 2025

Charleroi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Rayo Vallecano 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Lens 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Seraing United 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Feyenoord 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Reims 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Standard Liege 0 - 2 Win

KV Mechelen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Dunkerque 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Willem II 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home Heist 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Sporting Hasselt 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Rupel Boom 3 - 0 Win

Jupiler Pro League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 KV Mechelen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Charleroi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Charleroi to win
This prediction indicates that Charleroi has a 52.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.32 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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