Championship
Match Analysis
Charlton
Bristol City
Charlton
L
D
D
L
D
W
Bristol City
W
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
In their recent head-to-head matches, Bristol City has generally come out on top against Charlton. The model predicts a 46% chance that Bristol City will win this match, reflecting their modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Charlton. Although Charlton has had more time to rest, the market odds also favor Bristol City, showing a similar level of confidence in an away win.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | Bristol City | 1 - 2 | April 3, 2026 |
| Bristol City | Charlton | 0 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| Charlton | Bristol City | 3 - 2 | December 26, 2019 |
| Bristol City | Charlton | 2 - 1 | October 23, 2019 |
| Charlton | Bristol City | 0 - 1 | February 6, 2016 |
| Bristol City | Charlton | 1 - 1 | December 26, 2015 |
Charlton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | QPR | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | West Brom | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Preston | 1 - 0 | Win |
Bristol City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Watford | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Southampton | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Burnley | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Preston | 1 - 3 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
Predictions
Bristol City to win
This prediction indicates that Bristol City has a 45.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.26 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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Odds Comparison
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