Chaves vs Academica Sunday 09th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Chaves Academica

Chaves L W L W W W

Academica L L L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chaves	Academica	3 - 2	April 23, 2022
Academica	Chaves	1 - 2	December 12, 2021
Academica	Chaves	2 - 1	April 24, 2021
Chaves	Academica	2 - 1	December 27, 2020
Chaves	Academica	1 - 2	February 9, 2020
Academica	Chaves	1 - 2	August 24, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Amarante	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Vizela	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Fafe	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	AVS	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Chaves II	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Tondela	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Guimaraes	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Torreense	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Maritimo	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Trofense	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Mafra	3 - 3	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Academica	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Chaves	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chaves has a 47.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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