Chelmsford City vs Truro City Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Chelmsford City Truro City

Chelmsford City W W L W D D

Truro City L W W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chelmsford City	Truro City	0 - 0	March 29, 2025
Truro City	Chelmsford City	2 - 1	August 31, 2024
Truro City	Chelmsford City	1 - 4	March 9, 2024
Chelmsford City	Truro City	1 - 2	November 25, 2023

Chelmsford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	Canvey Island	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Bishop's Stortford	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Eastbourne Borough	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Chesham United	0 - 2	Win
Apr 14, 26	Away	AFC Hornchurch	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Maidenhead	1 - 1	Draw

Truro City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Plymouth	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aldershot Town	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Carlisle	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Boston United	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Forest Green	1 - 1	Draw

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Truro City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Chelmsford City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.9% likelihood that both Chelmsford City and Truro City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chelmsford City to win

This prediction indicates that Chelmsford City has a 52.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.70 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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