EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Cheltenham
Exeter City
Cheltenham
W
L
L
W
L
L
Exeter City
L
L
D
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | Exeter City | 2 - 0 | August 13, 2025 |
| Cheltenham | Exeter City | 1 - 2 | April 1, 2024 |
| Exeter City | Cheltenham | 1 - 0 | September 16, 2023 |
| Cheltenham | Exeter City | 3 - 1 | March 18, 2023 |
| Exeter City | Cheltenham | 0 - 1 | August 20, 2022 |
| Cheltenham | Exeter City | 0 - 7 | August 9, 2022 |
Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rotherham | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Charlton | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Evesham United | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Colchester | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Grimsby | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Torquay | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Weston-super-Mare | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Truro City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Exeter City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Exeter City has a 36.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.79 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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