Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA Thursday 17th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Chelyabinsk FC UFA

Chelyabinsk L D L L W L

FC UFA W W D L D W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chelyabinsk	FC UFA	2 - 1	November 10, 2025
FC UFA	Chelyabinsk	0 - 0	September 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Leningradets	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Rotor Volgograd	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 28, 26	Away	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Enisey	3 - 1	Win
Aug 17, 26	Away	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Ural	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	KAMAZ	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	FC UFA	8	4	3	1	12	8	+4	15
14	Chelyabinsk	8	2	1	5	9	15	-6	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chelyabinsk has a 36.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.47 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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