Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Chengdu Better City Chongqing Tongliang Long

Chengdu Better City W W W L L W

Chongqing Tongliang Long W W L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chongqing Tongliang Long	Chengdu Better City	3 - 3	March 21, 2026
Chongqing Tongliang Long	Chengdu Better City	0 - 0	June 23, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sichuan Jiuniu	2 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Shanghai Zetian	0 - 4	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Dalian Zhixing	2 - 0	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	SHANGHAI SIPG	0 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Tianjin Teda	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Tianjin Teda	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Beijing Guoan	2 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Qingdao Jonoon	0 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Yunnan Yukun	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Shandong Luneng	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	16	13	1	2	36	15	+21	40
3	Chongqing Tongliang Long	16	7	6	3	20	16	+4	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chengdu Better City has a 57.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.25 %

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