First League
Match Analysis
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
W
L
L
L
L
D
Lokomotiv Sofia
L
L
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | 0 - 1 | November 22, 2025 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | 1 - 1 | July 18, 2025 |
| Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | 4 - 0 | December 3, 2024 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | 2 - 1 | August 4, 2024 |
| Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | 3 - 0 | April 4, 2024 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 0 | October 1, 2023 |
Cherno More Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Dunav Ruse | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Ludogorets | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Spartak Varna | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Lokomotiv Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Arda Kardzhali | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | CSKA 1948 | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Levski Sofia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Teuta Durrës | 0 - 0 | Draw |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cherno More Varna | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cherno More Varna to win
This prediction indicates that Cherno More Varna has a 45.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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