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Sept. 9, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Chertanovo Moscow FK Neftekhimik
Chertanovo Moscow W L L L L W
FK Neftekhimik W L L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FK Neftekhimik Chertanovo Moscow 5 - 1 July 1, 2022
Chertanovo Moscow FK Neftekhimik 1 - 0 November 29, 2020
FK Neftekhimik Chertanovo Moscow 3 - 0 August 22, 2020
Chertanovo Moscow FK Neftekhimik 2 - 2 September 7, 2019

Chertanovo Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away KDV 2 - 4 Win
Aug 12, 26 Away Chita 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 20, 25 Away Volgar Astrakhan 2 - 1 Loss
Jan 25, 25 Home Kosmos Dolgoprudny 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 4, 24 Away Chelyabinsk 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 24 Home Saturn Ramenskoye 3 - 1 Win

FK Neftekhimik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 24, 26 Away Rotor Volgograd 0 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home PFC Sochi 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Nizhny Novgorod 5 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Tekstilshchik 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Volga Ulyanovsk 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.22% likelihood that both Chertanovo Moscow and FK Neftekhimik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chertanovo Moscow or FK Neftekhimik to win
This prediction indicates that FK Neftekhimik has a 41.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.11 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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