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FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Chertsey Town Greenwich Borough
Chertsey Town W D W W D W
Greenwich Borough W L L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Chertsey Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 7, 26 Away Carshalton Athletic 1 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Westfield (Surrey) 4 - 2 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Chesham United 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Hampton & Richmond 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Wealdstone 2 - 0 Win

Greenwich Borough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Sittingbourne 3 - 4 Win
Aug 10, 19 Home Canterbury City 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 13, 15 Home Slimbridge 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 29, 15 Away Beckenham Town 0 - 4 Win
Aug 16, 15 Home Lordswood 1 - 0 Win
Oct 26, 14 Away Worcester City 2 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that both Chertsey Town and Greenwich Borough will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chertsey Town to win
This prediction indicates that Chertsey Town has a 54.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.68 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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