Chesham United vs Real Bedford Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Chesham United

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Real Bedford

Match Analysis

Chesham United Real Bedford

Chesham United W W L L D W

Real Bedford W W W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Ware	7 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Horsham	1 - 4	Win
Sep 8, 26	Home	Billericay Town	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Truro City	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Dover	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	AFC Totton	0 - 4	Win

Real Bedford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Harleston Town	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Royston Town	4 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Hertford Town	11 - 2	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	St Albans City	4 - 4	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	2 - 8	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Harborough Town	4 - 4	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.48% likelihood that both Chesham United and Real Bedford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chesham United to win

This prediction indicates that Chesham United has a 56.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

FA Cup

Exmouth vs Thame United 16 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›