National League - North
Match Analysis
Chester
Morecambe
Chester
W
W
D
W
W
L
Morecambe
L
D
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | Morecambe | 2 - 0 | October 14, 2025 |
| Morecambe | Chester | 1 - 1 | October 11, 2025 |
| Chester | Morecambe | 1 - 1 | July 16, 2022 |
Chester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | King's Lynn Town | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Chorley | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Crewe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Nantwich Town | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Hyde United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Stoke City | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Harborough Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Spennymoor Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Barrow | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | AFC Fylde | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Bamber Bridge | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 5 - 0 | Loss |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Chester to win
This prediction indicates that Chester has a 67.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.98 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments