League Two
Match Analysis
Chesterfield
Gillingham
Chesterfield
L
L
D
L
D
D
Gillingham
L
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | Gillingham | 1 - 0 | February 17, 2026 |
| Gillingham | Chesterfield | 4 - 1 | August 19, 2025 |
| Chesterfield | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | April 8, 2025 |
| Gillingham | Chesterfield | 1 - 0 | August 31, 2024 |
| Gillingham | Chesterfield | 1 - 1 | February 14, 2017 |
| Chesterfield | Gillingham | 3 - 3 | September 27, 2016 |
Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Notts County | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Gillingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Walsall | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Luton | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Ebbsfleet United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Millwall | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Charlton | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Dover | 0 - 3 | Win |
League Two Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Chesterfield to win
This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 54.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.05 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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