EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Chesterfield
Port Vale
Chesterfield
L
L
D
L
D
D
Port Vale
L
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | Port Vale | 1 - 1 | January 25, 2025 |
| Port Vale | Chesterfield | 1 - 0 | September 14, 2024 |
| Chesterfield | Port Vale | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2021 |
| Port Vale | Chesterfield | 2 - 1 | March 30, 2018 |
| Chesterfield | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | August 19, 2017 |
| Chesterfield | Port Vale | 1 - 0 | April 8, 2017 |
Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Notts County | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Wolves | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Blackpool | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Real Murcia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wigan | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 5 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Chesterfield to win
This prediction indicates that Chesterfield has a 42.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.12 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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